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At least 5 percent of American men, I estimate, are predominantly attracted to men, and millions of gay men still live, to some degree, in the closet.Gay men are half as likely as straight men to acknowledge their sexuality on social networks.These results suggest that the closet remains a major factor in American life.For comparison, about 3.6 percent of American men tell anonymous surveys they are attracted to men and a tenth of gay men say that they do not tell most of the important people in their lives.This suggests that these men are not only not telling Facebook they are gay but are also not looking for relationships online.Additional evidence that suggests that many gay men in intolerant states are deeply in the closet comes from a surprising source: the Google searches of married women.On Facebook, for example, about 1 percent of men in Mississippi who list a gender preference say that they are interested in men; in California, more than 3 percent do.

These would include searches for such terms as “gay porn” or “Rocket Tube,” a popular gay pornographic site. The advantage of this data source, of course, is that most men are making these searches in private.

It turns out that wives suspect their husbands of being gay rather frequently.

In the United States, of all Google searches that begin “Is my husband...,” the most common word to follow is “gay.” “Gay” is 10 percent more common in such searches than the second-place word, “cheating.” It is 8 times more common than “an alcoholic” and 10 times more common than “depressed.” Searches questioning a husband’s sexuality are far more common in the least tolerant states.

(This information is available only for a subset of Facebook users.) Some gay men do move out of less tolerant states, but this effect is small.

I estimate that the openly gay population would be about 0.1 percentage points higher in the least tolerant states if everyone stayed in place.

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